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Is It Time To Panic About The Stock Market Crash?

🔥 Weekly Market Recap: Crash or Rebound?

The stock market saw a significant downturn over the past month, with the Fear & Greed Index hitting 16—indicating extreme fear. However, Friday brought a strong rebound, leading to the key question:

👉 Is this the bottom, or are we in for more downside?

📉 Market Overview

  • S&P 500 RSI: Rebounded from oversold (27) to neutral (35).

  • MACD Indicator: Starting to trigger a buy signal—buyers could be stepping in.

  • Geopolitical Risks: Trade wars & interest rate uncertainty continue to weigh on sentiment.

  • Fear & Greed Index: Sitting at 21 (Extreme Fear)—markets may be overreacting.


📊 Portfolio Adjustments: What I Bought & Sold

📌 Increased Holdings

  • ASML (ASML): Holding 6.77% of my portfolio—best in class chipmaker.

  • Alphabet (GOOGL): Increased position to 5.82%—huge AI potential.

  • Procter & Gamble (PG): Added more, now at 4.64%—defensive play.

  • GE Vernova (GEV): AI-related energy infrastructure—up 3.58%.

📌 Sold/Reduced Positions

  • Broadcom (AVGO): Took profits before expected pullback.

  • UnitedHealth (UNH): Holding 2.87%, looking to trim soon.

  • Caterpillar (CAT): Not a long-term hold—watching for next move.

  • Nvidia (NVDA): Will reduce to 1%—waiting for better valuation.

📌 Added New Trades

  • Kinder Morgan (KMI): Pipeline play—watching geopolitical shifts.

  • Diamondback Energy (FANG): Temporary energy trade.

  • Palantir (PLTR): High-growth AI stock—watching for major pullback.


⚠ Risk Assessment & Market Outlook

Key events next week:

  • Monday: Retail Sales

  • Tuesday: Building Permits & Housing Starts

  • Wednesday: FOMC Rate Decision & Powell Speech 🚨

  • Thursday: Existing Home Sales

🔹 Risk Level: 45% (Medium-High)More volatility ahead, but a relief rally possible.


🎯 Key Timestamps & Topics Covered

00:00 - Market sell-off: Extreme fear hits investors
00:34 - S&P 500 Analysis: Oversold or another leg down?
01:46 - Fear & Greed Index: Panic levels signal buying opportunity?
03:03 - Economic risks ahead: What could trigger more downside?
05:54 - Why I increased my Alphabet (GOOGL) holdings
07:26 - Defensive moves: Added Procter & Gamble (PG)
09:01 - Key earnings next week: Will Powell crash the market?
10:32 - New trades: Kinder Morgan (KMI) & Diamondback Energy (FANG)
12:24 - My cash position strategy & why I’m raising it
14:09 - Market sentiment: The Trump wildcard & political risks
15:00 - Final thoughts: Should you buy or wait for more downside?


📢 Final Thoughts: Buy the Dip or Stay Cautious?

Markets are showing signs of a bounce, but risks remain elevated heading into next week. My strategy:
Stay cautious but look for selective buying opportunities
Hold cash & take profits where necessary
Watch the FOMC meeting closely for Powell’s next move

💬 Are you buying the dip or waiting for lower prices? Drop a comment below!

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