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Market Volatility, Earnings Reports & Key Trades: What You Need to Know This Week

Weekly Market Recap: Volatility, Earnings & Key Trades

Discover key market trends, stock movements, and economic data from last week, including Nvidia earnings, geopolitical risks, and major trades. Find out what’s next for the market!

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Market Overview: February 24 - 28

Last week was full of uncertainty, with major corrections shaking the market, only to be followed by a late-week recovery. The S&P 500 barely held above its 50-day moving average, while economic data, geopolitical tensions, and earnings reports heavily influenced investor sentiment.

Key economic indicators included:

  • Durable Goods: 3.1% (higher than expected)

  • GDP Growth: 2.3% (down from 3.1%)

  • Core PCE: 0.3% (as expected)

  • Personal Income: 0.9% (higher than expected)

  • Personal Spending: -0.2% (lower than expected)

Major Stock Movers: AI Stocks & Nvidia Earnings

Nvidia’s earnings report was highly anticipated. Despite exceeding expectations, the stock saw immediate post-earnings volatility, reflecting high investor expectations and market uncertainty.

Nvidia (NVDA)

  • Earnings Beat: EPS and revenue exceeded estimates

  • Stock Movement: Initially dropped post-earnings before recovering slightly

  • Current Price: $NVDA Yahoo Finance Chart

Other AI-related stocks saw declines early in the week, followed by rebounds on Friday.

Geopolitical Impact: Trump & Zelensky

Trump’s latest tariff announcements on Canada, Mexico, and China added to the market's volatility. Additionally, a televised exchange between Trump and Zelensky rattled investor confidence.

Market Sentiment: Increasing geopolitical risk, adding to economic concerns.

Trades & Portfolio Adjustments

Here’s what I bought, sold, and adjusted in my portfolio:

Closed Positions

  • Chipotle (CMG): Closed due to concerns over consumer spending slowdown

  • HP (HPQ): Exited after lackluster earnings and weak growth outlook

  • Broadcom (AVGO): Closed position as stock showed sideways movement

  • Walmart (WMT): Sold after weak forward guidance

  • JPMorgan Chase (JPM): Trimmed due to overvaluation concerns

Reduced Positions

  • Eli Lilly (LLY): Reduced to 1.63% of my portfolio due to high valuations

  • Procter & Gamble (PG): Trimmed to 3.8% after strong rally

  • AbbVie (ABBV): Reduced as RSI hit overbought territory

Added Positions

  • Hims & Hers Health (HIMS): Increased to 5.66% despite current losses (-11.29%)

  • GE Vernova (GEV): Energy infrastructure play with AI power demand

  • Brookfield Corporation (BN): Long-term investment with strong fundamentals

  • Palantir (PLTR): Added after major pullback, waiting for breakout

  • Rocket Lab (RKLB): Invested post-correction, strong earnings beat

  • Realty Income (O): REIT yielding 5.54%, added for defensive exposure

New Positions

  • Nvidia (NVDA): Initiated position, looking for long-term hold

  • Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B): Small position, waiting for better entry

  • PepsiCo (PEP): Added ahead of dividend X-date

  • Merkle Group: Insurance & reinsurance holding, similar to Berkshire Hathaway

  • Diamondback Energy (FANG): Entered energy sector with a small stake

  • Caterpillar (CAT): Infrastructure play as a long-term bet

  • MicroStrategy (MSTR): Bitcoin exposure play, short-term trade

  • Kinder Morgan (KMI): Added gas transport company for AI-driven energy demand

Risk Assessment for Next Week

Key upcoming economic events:

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI

  • ISM Services PMI

  • Non-Farm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate

Risk Factors:

  • MACD Indicator: Still showing sell signals → Medium Risk

  • RSI: Sitting at 44, moving up → Medium Risk

  • Geopolitical Events: Trump & Zelensky tensions → High Risk

  • Seasonality: March historically strong → Low Risk

  • Corporate Buybacks: Nvidia buybacks could provide support → Low Risk

Overall Market Risk: 50% (Neutral)

Final Thoughts & Market Outlook

I remain cautiously optimistic but fully invested. The next week is a coin flip, so I’ll be watching economic data closely. If volatility spikes, I’ll consider locking in some gains and raising cash levels.

Stay safe, manage risk, and trade smart!


Legal Disclaimer

The content on this YouTube channel is for informational and educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing in my videos should be considered financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. All opinions expressed are solely my own and should not be taken as specific recommendations for buying, selling, or holding any securities, cryptocurrencies, or other financial instruments. Investing involves risk, and you should always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. While I strive to provide accurate and up-to-date information, I cannot guarantee that all information presented is complete, accurate, or current. Market conditions and regulations change frequently, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This channel may include affiliate links or sponsored content, which may provide compensation to support the channel at no additional cost to you. Any such partnerships do not influence my opinions or recommendations. By watching my videos, you agree that I am not responsible for any financial losses or decisions you make based on the information provided. Always do your due diligence and make informed choices. For legal compliance, this disclaimer applies to viewers in the United States, the European Union, and any other applicable jurisdictions.

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