📌 Description:
Markets saw another volatile week with minor corrections, a potential rebound, and critical risk indicators flashing warnings. In this episode, I analyze my latest trades, earnings reports, and why I believe 2022 could repeat itself in the coming months.
🔹 S&P 500 moving averages: Bullish or Bearish?
🔹 Risk assessment: Is this a dip to buy or a major warning sign?
🔹 Why I’m reducing exposure & what I’m selling next week!
🔹 Key earnings to watch: Oracle, Adobe & more!
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#StockMarket #Investing #RiskManagement
🔥 Weekly Market Recap: Are We Headed for a 2022 Repeat?
The past week was a rollercoaster ride, with the market trying to rebound after a correction. But is this a real recovery or just a trap? Let's analyze the S&P 500's technical levels, my latest portfolio moves, and what I expect for next week.
📉 Market Overview
The S&P 500 dropped below the 200-day moving average, triggering a technical sell-off before bouncing back.
50-day & 100-day moving averages are close to crossing—historically a sign of caution.
Market sentiment remains weak, as investors fear rate cuts may take longer than expected.
Geopolitical risks (tariffs, Ukraine war, inflation concerns) continue to weigh on markets.
🔹 Key Question: Are we headed for a new all-time high, or is a bigger correction coming?
📊 Portfolio Adjustments: What I Bought & Sold
📌 Sold Positions
Adobe (ADBE): Weak outlook, exited before earnings.
Broadcom (AVGO): Taking profits, reducing exposure.
Procter & Gamble (PG): Trimmed position to lock in gains.
📌 New Buys
TLT (Long-Term Treasuries): Preparing for a potential interest rate cut in late 2024.
Oracle (ORCL): Entered ahead of earnings—AI cloud growth remains strong.
Palantir (PLTR): Took advantage of recent pullback, holding long-term.
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B): Safer bet as market volatility increases.
⚠ Risk Assessment & Market Outlook
Major earnings next week: Oracle, Adobe, and Dick’s Sporting Goods.
Buybacks season starting: Will this support the market?
Unemployment rising: Potential impact on consumer spending & earnings.
🔹 Risk Level: HIGH (60%) – Prepare for more downside before a true recovery.
🎯 Key Timestamps & Topics Covered
00:00 - Introduction: Why this market is so unpredictable
00:34 - S&P 500 Analysis: Moving averages & technical breakdown
01:46 - Sentiment Check: Are we in a short-term oversold condition?
03:03 - Will the market hit a new all-time high in 2024?
04:42 - Risky stocks that could get washed out in a downturn
05:54 - Personal investing mistake: The greed trap that cost me -80%
07:26 - Risk management tips: When to take profits & cut losers
09:01 - Buybacks explained: Why companies don’t buy at low prices
10:32 - My portfolio updates: What I bought & sold
11:45 - Earnings to watch next week: Oracle, Adobe, and more
12:24 - Why TLT (long-term bonds) could be my next big move
13:18 - Geopolitical impact: Tariffs, Ukraine & European markets
14:09 - Market outlook: How I’m preparing for a 2022 repeat
15:00 - Final thoughts: Should you buy this dip or sell the rally?
📢 Final Thoughts: Should You Buy or Reduce Risk?
Markets are showing warning signs, and I plan to reduce risk on any rebound next week. If the 2022 pattern repeats, we could see a much deeper pullback before a real recovery.
💬 What’s your strategy? Are you buying the dip or selling into strength? Drop a comment below!
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